Nvidia
managed to beat the street once again, but CEO Jen-Hsun Huang sees some rough
seas ahead.
During
Nvidia’s first-quarter earnings call, Huang said the company’s upcoming fourth
generation Tegra chips will start shipping in the second quarter, but
production of Tegra 4-based devices will ramp up in the third and fourth
quarters. Tegra 4 was delayed by several months and although we should see
the first design win announcements in a matter of weeks, availability still
remains a concern. The Tegra 4i, a smaller SoC with previous generation CPU
cores and LTE support, has been brought forward by a few months, Huang said.
However, Tegra 4i phones aren’t coming this year. They are expected to ship in
Q1 2014.
“This
time around, although we have fewer phones, fewer high profile phones, there
more Android devices being built around the world than you could imagine."
said Huang. "We have tablets, obviously in development. We have other
types of computing devices that we will also announced probably starting in the
second quarter and ramping strongly in Q3 and Q4."
Although Huang reiterated Nvidia’s commitment to the mobile market, he also pointed out that
Android and tablets in general are disrupting the PC market. Huang argued that
consumers who already have Android phones are likely to pick up Android tablets
as well. He added that a great tablet is better than a cheap PC and that they
are disrupting the entry-level PC market. In other words, while Nvidia stands
to cash in on Tegra 4 tablets and Tegra 4i phones, it will lose out to cheap
tablets in the PC market.
However, Nvidia doesn’t appear too concerned and this is
why. Intel’s
upcoming Haswell chips, along with AMD Richland and Kabini APUs, feature relatively powerful
integrated graphics, hence the need for discrete graphics in the low-end is
evaporating fast. In spite of this, Nvidia hopes to grow its market share on
Haswell based systems. It is counting on enthusiasts who are willing to pay a
premium for more GPU performance. Although Intel integrated graphics are
getting better, Nvidia is convinced that its low-end offerings will still offer
superior performance and compelling value.
If AMD were to grow its CPU share in
the notebook market, Huang believes Nvidia could take a hit, but this doesn’t
seem very likely.
Although the PC market declined by double digits
quarter-on-quarter, Rob Csongor, NVidia VP of Investor Relations, pointed out
that Nvidia declined only six percent.
“That difference comes from growth in the non-commodity
PC space of course and wherever that growth is that's non-commodity PC space
will tend to be Tesla, Quadro and GTX,” he said. “That's also we are putting most of
our energy. Most of our energy related to GPGPU, related to extending our GPU
beyond the PC into our data centers and servers.”
In other words, GPGPU and Tegra are helping Nvidia
diversify and weather the storm in the PC market. The approach seems to be
working, although the company is about to face a bit more competition on the
mobile front from Intel’s Silvermont Atoms, especially in the tablet market. [Source]
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