Apple regularly comes top of the polls that score
the world’s most innovative companies. Here is the main reason why not being
the most innovative bodes well for the Apple share price.
In the past year,
Apple has topped Fast company’s -for walking the talk(?) –
“Apple definitely has the keys–because where it goes, everyone follows.” It topped Fortune’s most admired for
innovation.
And Boston Consulting Group/BusinessWeek had it number one in their global list. The Forbes
list of the world’s most innovative is a notable
exception placing Apple fifth
Apple has been
innovative and disruptive. It reshaped the smartphone industry while Nokia
toyed with its Symbian OS. It gave us the Ultra, with MacAir, and it finally got tablets right with the
iPad. That run ended in 2010, too long ago for the kudos to continue
accruing to Apple.
But leaving the
time lag aside, there’s a good reason for not considering Apple to be the
world’s most innovative company. And that’s simple. Companies that disrupt need
what Brant Cooper and Patrick Vlaskovits,authors of the recently published Lean Entrepreneur, described earlier as a“sustaining” period.
The market needs
to recognize that disruptors go into hibernation and rightly exploit what they
have created before they disrupt again, if ever.
The lack of
cognizance of this is affecting interpretations of Apple’s performance. But
Apple has been losing innovation kudos – rightly so – for some time, if your
reference point is the general public.
In the graph
below you can see Apple’s reputation for innovation in decline from 2010
onwards. At the beginning of 2011 Google was regarded in social media channels
as being as innovative as Apple.
But Google too
had been through a trough just before, after the failures of Wave and Buzz. And
that is the most important reason why Apple should not be regarded as the
world’s most innovative company. Google came back with a 30% share price rise.
The reality is
innovators need time in the doldrums. They need their relative failures (Maps,
Siri). And they need time to reap the rewards of disruption.
They can sustain
those failures if they switch off the disruption button, or at least tone it
down. They become sustaining innovators, improving the basics of their product
offerings (Phone 5) and services (iTunes in the Cloud).
But just as
Google came back with Glass and the driverless car, and updated their
innovation reputation (and share price), so too Apple will return. Cook promised
as much to investors this week. At that point it will deserve the plaudits once
more. In the meantime the most innovative tag is a millstone, forcing its share
price down despite its enviable economic success.
We and the
markets need to embrace the idea of sustaining innovation, periods of
incremental change and relative failure. They are what make champions like
Google and Apple tick. [Forbes]
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